The 90-versus-92 problem
“The Winter Arc is 90 days” and “the Winter Arc is October to New Year” cannot both be exactly true, and nobody minds. October, November and December add up to 92 days. A strict 90-day count from 1 October lands on 29 December — an odd evening to declare victory, two days before the year does it for you. In practice almost everyone runs the arc to New Year's Eve and lets “90” be branding.
Pick your convention on day one and write it on the checklist. This page's calculator shows both: the exact 90-day mark and the run-to-New-Year length.
What actually falls inside the window
An arc that starts on 1 October does not fail in October. The calendar tells you where it will be tested:
- Day 31 — Halloween. A minor test, and a useful early one: the first evening your rules and an invitation want different things.
- Late November — Thanksgiving if you are in the US, Black Friday everywhere. The no-spend rules and food rules meet reality in the same week.
- Weeks 9–13 — December. The real exam. Office parties, family logistics, travel, dark mornings. This is why the bad-day floor belongs in the rule wording, and why arcs built purely on bans die here — the case for additions over restrictions is on the rules page.
- Day 92 — New Year's Eve. The finish line, conveniently attached to a party. Cross the last box before it starts.
Starting late is fine; starting vague is not. A 1 November start gives 61 days to New Year — a real arc, if you write slightly fewer rules. What does not work is “I will start once things calm down”: things do not calm down, they Christmas.
Before or after the season
Outside autumn, the same mechanics still run — a 90-day block with your own rules is a 90-day block. But you lose the two things the season contributes free of charge: the world quietening down around you, and the cohort effect of everyone locking in on the same date. If it is currently spring and you want a fixed-rule container instead, 75 Soft works in any season, and the 75-day calculator maps those dates the same way this one maps the arc.